Similar to our Boston/New York comparison, we've compared cities on the U.S. West Coast in this edition: Los Angeles/San Francisco.
As a result of measures taken in the city, Los Angeles' rate of RevPAR decline across the weekly forecasts covering the six weeks between March 29 and May 3 has not been nearly as steep as other U.S. gateway cities like New York, Boston and San Francisco.
Differences in year-over-year RevPAR variance for March and April showed that the impact on Los Angeles was less severe than for most major markets.
Some potential good news for Los Angeles is that modeling for the second quarter shows continual improvement in June and July from the May bottom.
Over the coming months, by teaming up with the data science team at LodgIQ, Phocuswright is evaluating a broad swathe of hotel-related and other data across a variety of key metropolitan
areas.
Our key objectives are to model the:
- Level of disruption
- Duration of disruption
- Shape of the recovery curve
The goal is to understand the similarities and differences in hotel market dynamics between destinations.
This is especially relevant, as some markets may have yet to peak in terms of the level of infections, while others are seeing active coronavirus case counts decline.
The fourth COVID-19 Hotel Forecast report, written by Robert Cole, covers the Californian city of Los Angeles. It is available for free below (download here) or via the Phocuswright website.