The increase in
direct bookings that cruise lines first noted a year ago has
not only continued, it appears to be intensifying.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings told investors this month that
it expects direct consumer sales to surpass bookings from travel advisors in
2023. Other lines are also reporting an uptick in direct bookings.
And while
travel advisors theorize there are a number of factors behind the shift - including consumer confusion over future cruise credits (FCCs), fewer advisors
and more capacity - those agents are largely unconcerned, and cruise lines
continue to emphasize their support of the trade.
During
Royal Caribbean Group's second-quarter earnings call, CEO Jason Liberty said
the company was experiencing a "record level" of direct bookings, but
he also said travel advisors were generating bookings greater than 2019 levels.
Jody
Venturoni, Carnival Corp.'s chief communications officer, said the company has
seen an uptick in direct bookings but also said that travel advisors "will
remain critically important to our business … their knowledgeable advice and
personalized service are vital in helping guests, especially first-time
cruisers, find the right cruise experiences based on their preferences, budgets
and needs."
Norwegian
said that while advisors are "an incredibly important distribution channel
for us," it is investing in its online direct business because the channel
is both "attractive" and "low-cost."
But while
the direct channel may be low-cost, so are many of the bookings it yields, both
cruise executives and travel advisors have said over the past year.
Jackie
Friedman, president of Nexion Travel Group, said many consumers who shop for a
cruise online "are just transactional shoppers." They are seeking the
best deal, business that many travel advisors aren't interested in. Instead,
they want to serve travelers looking for added value and informed decisions
guided by an advisor.
Importantly,
Friedman said, while Norwegian is investing in its online direct business, it
is not reducing its investment in the travel agency channel.
"From
what we're seeing, they are investing in marketing, they are investing in
coming to events, they are investing in compensation for travel advisors and in
their own education programs, their own support models," she said.
"There doesn't seem to be any pulling back in investment in the
trade."
Friedman
added that with the number of ships slated to hit the water in the next several
years, there are a lot of cabins to fill.
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Tom
Baker, president of CruiseCenter in Houston, agreed.
"I
don't see this as a threat but a necessary move for the lines, as I don't think
there is enough agent support to fill all the ships being built, and the lines
must do what they need to do to fill the behemoths that keep on coming,"
he said. "I believe there is enough good business for retailers who play
their cards right and are professionals with a strong value interpretation
matching the client to the right product."
The
cruise lines need advisors
Brad
Tolkin, co-CEO of World Travel Holdings, said a "confluence of
events" has led to the rise of direct cruise bookings.
First,
since the pandemic began, some travel advisors have permanently left the
industry. Second, there are a record number of FCCs still in consumers'
possession.
"A
lot of people might have been under the assumption that in order to use that
future cruise credit, they had to book directly with the cruise line,"
Tolkin said, adding that this was not due to any communication or promotion
from the cruise lines but to consumer confusion.
That
combination has led to the current environment, Tolkin said, but he believes it
"will correct itself over time."
Tolkin is
optimistic about the future, citing a statistic that cruise industry inventory
is on track to grow by 8% each year for the next five years. "The cruise
lines are going to need an army of travel advisors across the United States,
across the world, to fill that inventory, and the product is getting
better," he said.
Andrew
Jones, director of leisure partner relationships for Flight Centre Travel
Group, said he believes that as the cruise industry continues to recover and
booking patterns normalize, consumers who communicated directly with cruise
lines will come to realize the value of travel advisors.
"Working
with an advisor is always going to paramount experience versus booking with the
cruise line directly," he said. "I think that we're always going to
have that value to be able to talk to what we have done and what we're going to
do in the future."
*Andrea Zelinski
contributed to this report, which originally appeared in Travel Weekly.